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Indonesia plans to [execute](https://stocktwits.com/symbol/MNEL) B40 in January
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Because case, costs might rally 10%-15% in Jan-March, Mielke says
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B40 will need additional 3 mln heaps feedstock, GAPKI states
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Malaysia palm oil benchmark at greatest considering that mid-2022
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India might withdraw import [tax trek](https://pitchbook.com/profiles/company/51278-86) amidst inflation, Mistry states
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(Adds expert remarks, updates Malaysia's palm oil standard cost)
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By Bernadette Christina
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NUSA DUA, Indonesia, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Indonesia's palm oil output is anticipated to recuperate in 2025 after an expected drop this year, but rates are expected to remain elevated due to organized growth of the [country's](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-178469/company/) [biodiesel](https://biodieselmagazine.com/articles/felda-global-buys-missions-kuantan-port-plant-for-11-5-million-9053) mandate, industry analysts stated.
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The palm oil benchmark rate in Malaysia has actually [increased](https://www.investing.com/equities/mission-newenergy-ltd-company-profile) more than 35% this year, raised by slow output and Indonesia's strategy to increase the mandatory domestic [biodiesel](https://www.abnnewswire.net/companies/en/31347/%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B4%E0%B8%A9%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%97-Mission-NewEnergy-%E0%B8%88%E0%B8%B3%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%94.html/4) mix to 40% in January from 35% now in an effort to [decrease fuel](https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/ipos/overview?dealId=804419-65608) imports.
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Palm oil output next year in leading producer Indonesia is anticipated to recover by 1.5 million metric heaps compared to a projected drop of just over a million lots this year, Julian McGill, handling director at Glenauk Economics, [informed](https://www.bloomberg.com/profile/company/MNELF:US) the Indonesia Palm Oil Conference on Friday.
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Thomas Mielke, head of Hamburg-based research [company Oil](https://www.intelligentinvestor.com.au/shares/asx-mbt/mission-newenergy-limited/share-price) World, stated he expects Indonesia's palm oil production to increase by as much as 2 million heaps next year after a 2.5 million ton drop in 2024.
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While [Indonesia's output](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-178469/company/) is anticipated to enhance, supply from in other places and of other vegetable oils is seen tightening.
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Palm oil output in neighbouring Malaysia is expected to dip slightly next year after increasing by an approximated 1 million lots in 2024.
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"We would need a recovery in palm in 2025 due to the fact that combined exports of soya, sunflower and rapeseed oils are decreasing," Mielke said.
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'FRIGHTENING' PRICE SURGE
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The price surge in palm oil in the past seven weeks has actually been "frightening" for buyers, Mielke said, including that it would rally by 10%-15% in January-March if Indonesia enforces the [so-called](https://www.zoominfo.com/c/mission-newenergy/346542889) B40 policy.
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The Indonesia Palm Oil Association stated [additional feedstock](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159352/mission-newenergy-debt-free-focused-on-biofuel-joint-venture-60797.html) of around 3 million loads will be needed for B40 execution, eroding export supply.
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The [existing palm](https://forest500.org/rankings/companies/mission-newenergy-limited) oil premium has actually currently triggered palm to [lose market](https://forest500.org/rankings/companies/mission-newenergy-limited) share against other oils, Mielke added.
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Malaysian palm oil prices are seen at around $950 to $1,050 per metric ton in 2025, McGill of Glenauk approximated.
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[Benchmark](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-178469/company/) Malaysian palm oil touched 5,104 ringgit ($1,165.30) on Friday, the greatest since mid-2022.
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"Sentiment right now is red-hot and exceptionally bullish, we need to be mindful," stated Dorab Mistry, [director](https://www.proactiveinvestors.com.au/ASX:MBT/Mission-NewEnergy-Ltd) at Indian durable goods company Godrej International.
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He anticipated the [Malaysian rate](https://www.businessnews.com.au/Company/Mission-NewEnergy) around 5,000 ringgit and above until June 2025.
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Mielke and [Mistry advised](https://www.energy-xprt.com/companies/mission-newenergy-limited-36048) Indonesia to
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consider delaying
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B40 application on concern about its effect on food customers.
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Meanwhile, Mistry expected leading palm oil importer India to [withdraw](https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/mission-newenergy) its
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import responsibility hike
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[imposed](https://www.google.com/search?kgmid=/m/0cqd_rb) from September after elections in the state of Maharashtra in November. ($1 = 4.3800 ringgit) (Reporting by Bernadette Christina [Munthe Writing](https://www.zoominfo.com/c/mission-newenergy/346542889) by Fransiska Nangoy
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